Evidence robust enough to survive scrutiny, on the timeline a decision actually runs on.

The bind

Serious evaluation runs on a different clock than the decision.

A rigorous study takes years; a budget or reauthorization decision takes months, and the evidence arrives after the choice is made. You cannot stop a public service to run a clean experiment, and you should not. So programs are defended on performance dashboards that count activity without ever showing how much it helped, and when the politics turn, that is not enough to stand on.

What a serious decision needs is evidence that is independent, robust enough to survive a determined critic, and available while the decision is still open. That combination has been out of reach, because the reading it depends on has been slow and expensive.

What Prova does

Robust, independent evidence, built into the work as it runs.

Prova works from the administrative records a program already generates, so measurement runs alongside delivery instead of interrupting it. We establish the strongest claim the evidence honestly supports, on a timeline set by the decision rather than the study, and we are explicit about what the evidence can and cannot carry, so a finding holds up when it is challenged.

We are independent, and we do not bid on the work we assess. A finding you can show an auditor, an opposition, or the public is one with no stake in its own conclusion.

Some things should not be measured, randomized, or claimed, and we are clear about those lines before the work begins. The data belongs to the people it describes; how it is governed and who benefits are settled up front.

Because AI does the heavy lifting, under human supervision, the same evidence can cost far less than a commissioned study, and we track that and report whether it holds. The judgment about what a result means stays with the people who know the policy and the place. How the method works →

How to start

Start with a Read.

A Read is a short, bounded first step that fits inside a budget cycle: weeks, a fixed scope, a single question answered well. It can tell you what an existing program can credibly claim, or stress-test an evaluation you are about to commission before the money is committed.

When a program is live and worth following as policy moves, that becomes Field: measurement built in as the work runs. All to the same standard.

See the Reads → Field →