A new kind of evidence firm for social programs

The hardest part of doing good is knowing how much of it works.

Prova helps the people who fund and run social programs find out how well the work is going, for a fraction of what proof costs today, without lowering the bar.

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Who Prova is for

Wherever you sit, the question is the same.

Corporate impact

Defend what your community investment achieves, to your board, an investor, or the press.

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Private philanthropy

Know how well your giving is working, in confidence, without turning it into a bureaucracy.

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Foundations

Decision-grade evidence across the whole portfolio, not only the grants big enough to evaluate.

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Public sector

Robust, independent evidence on the timeline a decision actually runs on.

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What’s about to change

Proof comes in grades, and the price of reaching each is starting to fall.

COST TO REACHRIGOR OF THE CLAIMthe cost AI removesDescriptiveCorrelationalQuasi-experimentalExperimentalthe judgment stays human

The judgment stays human.

Whether an effect is real, and what it means here, stays with the people who decide.

Reaching any grade of evidence has always come down to one slow, costly step: skilled people reading the mountains of material a program produces. AI can now do much of that reading, carefully and under human supervision, so the same grade of evidence can be reached for far less. The judgment that decides what it means stays with people.

How AI changes the cost, and where judgment stays human →

The Prova Method

One method, made explicit.

The standards behind the work are written down: how we match a claim to the strength of its evidence, how we find a credible natural experiment, how we stress-test a design before it runs. We hold our own claims to the same standard.

The Prova Method →

How to start · The Reads

Start with a Read.

A short, bounded diagnostic, and the lowest-risk way to see how Prova works. When a program is already running and needs measurement built in for the long term, that is Field.

01Generate

The Counterfactual Hunt

Find the natural experiments already hiding in your data.

8 weeks
02Match

The Evidence Map

Match every impact claim to the grade of evidence beneath it.

6 weeks
03Stress-test

The Pre-Mortem

Find what will sink a study before you commit to it.

6 weeks

See all the Reads →How Field works →

Why Prova

Where Prova comes from.

Fifteen years building measurement into social programs, and then inside government, kept pointing to the same constraint. The will to know was there, and the methods were sound. What stood in the way was the cost of proof, in both money and time, and that is the one thing that can finally change.

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Tell us what you’re trying to find out.

A decision coming, and you’re not sure the evidence will be there in time? That’s the conversation to have. The first conversation is a fit check, and I take these myself.

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